Agentic commerce · Send247 research

How agentic commerce will disrupt e-commerce inventory, and the role of logistics

Within the next 36 months, you may never manually search for a product, compare shipping costs, or tap a “Buy Now” button again. Autonomous AI agents are quietly taking over the transactional engine of our daily lives, and the brands that fail to wire themselves for agentic commerce today will be completely invisible tomorrow.

Forward-thinking businesses are looking to embed purchases inside AI conversations and share their catalogue with AI agents.

Mark Okiki, founder of Send247

Mark Okiki

Founder, Send247

Published 6 min read

Key takeaways

  • Agentic commerce is shopping completed by autonomous AI agents on a buyer’s behalf. McKinsey estimates it could unlock $3 trillion to $5 trillion in global transaction volume by 2030.
  • Buying a physical item takes a protocol stack: MCP for catalogue access, A2A payments, A2P human approvals and fulfilment at the end.
  • The biggest gap today is real-time inventory. Traditional feeds refresh every 6 to 24 hours, which can break an autonomous purchase.
  • Trust depends on the monitoring delta: the wait between delegating an order and knowing it succeeded. Two-hour delivery shrinks it from days to hours.
  • Retailers can test whether AI agents can find and transact with their store at send247.uk/ai-ready.

Question 1

We hear a lot about AI transforming everyday life. How quickly are consumers actually delegating shopping to AI agents?

The shift from AI as a conversational novelty to AI as an operational delegate is happening faster than any prior technology adoption curve. Consumers are actively outsourcing high-stakes emotional, operational and commercial tasks.

  • Shopping and recommendations: over 54% of digital shoppers use generative AI to filter recommendations, compare product specs and curate specialised shopping baskets rather than browsing traditional e-commerce search engines.
  • Orders generated through AI-powered Shopify searches increased 8x from 2025 in Q1 2026.
  • 23% of US consumers already trust generative AI to conduct payments.

Question 2

What is “agentic commerce,” and what does the market scale look like?

Agentic commerce refers to transactions initiated, evaluated, negotiated and completed by autonomous AI agents on behalf of human buyers.

Global agentic commerce projected market volume: $5.7 billion in 2024, rising to between $3.0 trillion and $5.0 trillion by 2030.
Global agentic commerce projected market volume. 2024: $5.7B (early pilots and search plugins). 2030: $3.0 trillion to $5.0 trillion (McKinsey and industry forecasts).

McKinsey estimates that agentic commerce will unlock $3 trillion to $5 trillion in global transaction volume by 2030.

Donut chart of the 2025 agentic commerce market by region: North America 39.1%, Asia Pacific 25.7%, Europe 21.2%, Latin America 7.6%, Middle East and Africa 6.4%.
Agentic commerce market by region, 2025. North America leads with 39.1%, followed by Asia Pacific (25.7%), Europe (21.2%), Latin America (7.6%) and Middle East and Africa (6.4%). Source: globemarketresearch.com.

To put this in perspective:

  • Referral traffic: generative AI-driven referral traffic to US retail websites surged 693.4% year over year during peak holiday shopping. Visa’s 2025 survey of 3,700 online shoppers found that two in three already use AI shopping agents to save time or find better prices.
  • Claude and Muse commerce data: enterprise platforms using models like Claude and specialised retail engines (such as Muse) report a 4x year-over-year surge in API calls structured for cart building, inventory lookup and automated checkout protocol handshakes. AI agents are now capable of end-to-end autonomous shopping journeys.
  • Corporate readiness: Kearney’s State of Agentic Commerce 2026 shows a wide gap between strategy and execution among consumer-goods companies, with very few running a live agent offering. The table below sets out the detail.

How ready are consumer-goods companies?

Kearney benchmarked 106 companies between September 2025 and August 2026. The table shows the share of companies in each product category at each readiness stage.

Agentic commerce readiness by consumer product category, showing the share of companies in each category at each readiness stage.
Readiness ascends →
Category analysed(number of companies)No mention of AIGeneral use of AI in businessAI use in commerceAgentic commerce strategyLive commerce agent offering
Beauty and personal care10 companiesNone40%None50%10%
Snacking and confectionery8 companies12%12%38%25%12%
Pet care3 companies33%NoneNone67%None
Home care and HPC8 companiesNone12%38%50%None
Alcoholic beverages7 companies14%29%29%29%None
Non-alcoholic beverages4 companies25%25%25%25%None
Tobacco/nicotine5 companies20%40%20%20%None
Packaged food8 companies25%50%12%12%None

Eight categories shown (53 companies); “–” means no company in that category sits at that stage. Percentages are the share of each group at that level and may not total 100 because of rounding. Based on investor communications and public company statements across own channels and business media. Multi-category companies are assigned to the category of their largest business unit. Recreated from Kearney, State of Agentic Commerce 2026.

Only two of the eight categories have any company with a live commerce agent offering: beauty and personal care (10%) and snacking and confectionery (12%). Pet care has the highest share at the agentic strategy stage (67%), but that is two of just three companies, so treat the category-level percentages as directional rather than definitive.

Question 3

Under the hood, how does an AI agent actually purchase a physical item? What protocols make this work?

Moving from a simple chat prompt to a physical item arriving at your front door requires a complex stack of emerging open protocols.

The agentic commerce stack: a user intent goes to an AI buyer agent, which uses the Model Context Protocol to reach a real-time merchant catalogue. An A2A or A2P handshake connects A2A payments to a merchant AI seller, and physical fulfilment is handled by a 2-hour hyperlocal delivery fleet, Send247.
The agentic commerce stack, from user intent to physical fulfilment.
  1. Model Context Protocol (MCP): developed by Anthropic and supported across the ecosystem, MCP acts as the universal adapter connecting AI agents directly to real-time enterprise databases, inventory feeds and store platforms without custom API engineering. Read the MCP specification.
  2. A2A (agent-to-agent) payments: standardised financial rails that allow a buyer’s agent to negotiate, authorise tokenised funds and execute transactions directly with a merchant’s seller agent.
  3. A2P (agent-to-person / agent-to-platform): protocols that manage human-in-the-loop approvals, step-up biometric authentication and delivery receipt confirmations.
  4. Catalogue scale: in major commercial capitals like London, agents must instantly query and evaluate the active SKUs spanning local retail shops, high-street hubs and regional distribution centres.

To check whether a web storefront can communicate with autonomous buyers, tools like Cloudflare’s isitagentready.com scan site discoverability, content accessibility, bot access controls, protocol endpoints and commerce support.

Illustrative agent readiness audit: discoverability, content accessibility, bot access control and protocol discovery all pass; real-time inventory is partial with a 15-minute sync delta.
An illustrative agent readiness audit. Discoverability (structured JSON-LD and schema), content accessibility (markdown and a clean text API), bot access control (allowed via robots.txt) and protocol discovery (an MCP endpoint under .well-known) pass; real-time inventory is partial, with a 15-minute sync delta.

Send247 publishes its own agent-facing documentation, including MCP server docs and an API reference. You can test your own catalogue at send247.uk/ai-ready.

Question 4

Is the infrastructure ready today, or is it mostly hype? What is missing?

The infrastructure is partly ready.

The reasoning engine (LLM intelligence) is sufficiently smart, and the physical delivery networks exist. However, the critical missing link today is reliable, real-time inventory synchronisation.

Traditional e-commerce feeds rely on batch updates that refresh every 6 to 24 hours. If an AI agent purchases an item that is out of stock in the physical store, the entire autonomous loop breaks. At Send247, we bridge this inventory accuracy bottleneck by integrating live Google Shopping data feeds alongside our direct merchant API pipelines, ensuring high-fidelity stock matching before an agent places an order.

Question 5

What are the two core hurdles standing between current AI tools and mass consumer adoption?

The battle for agentic commerce comes down to two sides of the same coin.

  1. Infrastructure side (wiring it together): connecting disparate product catalogues, tokenised payment gateways, local stock management and last-mile dispatch into a zero-latency pipeline.
  2. Consumer side (trust): handing credit card authority to an autonomous assistant requires absolute confidence that the agent won’t buy the wrong item, overpay or fail silently. Customers expect an AI-assisted purchase to be “fire-and-forget”.

Question 6

What is the “monitoring delta,” and how does Send247 solve it?

When a user instructs an AI agent to order a product, they enter the monitoring delta: the nerve-wracking window of time between delegating the task and confirming whether it succeeded or failed.

If an agent takes 24 to 48 hours to fulfil an order and fails at the final step, the user’s trust in autonomous commerce vanishes.

Traditional e-commerce has a 24 to 48 hour monitoring delta between delegation and success or failure, causing high anxiety. The Send247 2-hour store goes from delegation through a 2-hour instant loop to success and handover, building high trust.
The monitoring delta. Traditional e-commerce: delegation, then a 24 to 48 hour wait before success or failure is known. Send247 2-hour store: delegation, a 2-hour instant loop, then success and handover.

At Send247 Shop, we believe the time to failure and recovery must be minimised to near zero. This is why Send247 is branching directly into agentic commerce with the 2-Hour Store. By combining real-time inventory verification with instant, 2-hour physical delivery, we shrink the monitoring delta to an absolute minimum. If a stock discrepancy occurs, the client and agent are notified immediately, resolving issues in minutes rather than days.

Question 7

How is trust maintained throughout the entire order life cycle?

Trust is built through radical transparency.

Every single step taken by the AI agent, from inventory verification and A2A payment authorisation to real-time courier dispatch and delivery tracking, is exposed via step-by-step notification channels. The customer retains full oversight without having to manage the tedious manual steps.

As physical logistics meet autonomous intelligence, Send247 is building the underlying rails for an agent-ready retail ecosystem.

Sources and further reading

Mark Okiki, founder of Send247

About the author

Mark Okiki

Founder, Send247

Mark founded Send247, a London business logistics service focused on same-day delivery for businesses, including pharmacies. Send247 is building delivery rails for agent-ready commerce.

Mark Okiki on LinkedIn

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